June 27, 2008

Oil Price Predictions

So I always keep track of Bloombergs energy page, since it gives a good overview of the energy  market into which I sometimes invest.

Each week they make a prediction on oil by surveying ~24 oil market analysts as to which way the price is headed.

According to the article(http://bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20602099&sid=a.ippo5hH_RI&refer=energy), they’ve been doing this since April of 2004.

And they’ve gotten it right 49% of the time.

Wow, beaten by a quarter toss. I think maybe it’s time for Bloomberg to retire this weekly column.